Trump’s proposals for his second term: what to expect from the president-elect of the United States?

After the United States presidential elections, in which Donald Trump and Kamala Harris faced each other to reach the White House, The Republican managed to exceed the 270 electoral votes necessary to return to govern in the North American country.

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• Migration: largest deportation in history; seal the border with Mexico, but it is not clear how he will achieve this; death penalty for migrants who murder Americans; compensation to victims of crimes committed by migrants; and eliminate birthright citizenship for children of undocumented immigrants.
• Economy: reduce taxes on large companies (as he already did in his first term) to boost job creation and local production. In contrast, wants to establish tariffs, that is, taxes on imports, especially those from China.
• Environment: has warned about withdrawing, once again, from the 2015 Paris Agreementwhich establishes commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. It also intends to expand oil exploration and extraction.
• Foreign policy: has talked about suspend aid to Ukraine. He offered to resolve that conflict with Russia in a matter of hours, but has not said how. As for the Middle East, has made clear his unrestricted support for Israel. Also, he wants to reduce the participation of the United States in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), which would affect the alliance with Europe. Finally, in our region, His strategy against Venezuela is a mystery. It is believed that he could put pressure on Nicolás Maduro’s regime, as in his first term, or negotiate with him on convenient terms for oil.

Trump, an “unpredictable” partner and friend of “threats”

Latin America may forget about carrots when Donald Trump returns to the White House in January, experts say. who fear a diplomacy of “threats” with unforeseeable consequences.

The return of the former Republican president four years after a chaotic departure, without acknowledging his defeat at the polls, raises many questions.

How will he govern? Will he keep his promise of mass deportation of immigrants? Will it impose double-digit tariffs?

“It will simply be diplomacy without values, for transactional reasons and for its political project,” summarized Christopher Sabatini, researcher for Latin America at Chatham House.

It is possible that it will ignore human rights in countries like El Salvador and Mexico in order to achieve its objectives in “immigration and the improvement of economic relations.”he adds.

In his opinion, the danger of polarizing the internal politics of several countries is real. It has been seen with its support for former far-right president Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil and presidents Javier Milei in Argentina and Nayib Bukele in El Salvador.

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