In 2025, will AI surpass people’s cognitive capacity? This is what Elon Musk predicts

Elon Musk, the visionary behind companies like Tesla and SpaceX, has made a prediction. By 2025, an Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) will surpass the capacity of all humans in any cognitive task.

This statement has generated both excitement and concern in the tech community and beyond.

The AGI is a automatic system that can perform any cognitive task similar to a human being.

Unlike specialized AI, which focuses on specific tasks such as image processing or speech recognitionthe AGI has the ability to reason, learn and adapt to diverse situations. It is the crown jewel in the field of artificial intelligence.

Musk recognizes that predicting the future is difficult, especially in an ever-changing world. However, some trends are evident.

AI is advancing in leaps and bounds and its potential is undeniable. Musk states: “We would have AI or AGI at a level where it can actually perform any cognitive task.” But how would people come to that?

The AGI will not emerge from nowhere. It will require a training and learning process provided by humans.

Through data, algorithms and feedback, AI will become better. Musk suggests that this process will take time, but it is not a distant utopia.

Musk is cautious in his statements. Establishes that there is a 50% chance for AI to reach its full potential between the end of 2025 and 2030.

In other words, in less than a decade, a machine will be seen surpassing people’s cognitive abilities.

However, there is an obstacle and it is energy. AI requires a significant amount of resources, from microchips to electricity.

Musk warns that if these issues are not resolved, the prediction could be delayed. But, optimistic as ever, he also suggests that by 2029, Biological computing could surpass human intelligence.