Dand according to the New York Times/Siena College poll, the former Republican president dominates voting intentions in Nevada (52% against 41% for Joe Biden), Georgia (49%/43%), Arizona (49%/ 44%), Michigan (48%/43%) and Pennsylvania (48%/44%), while Joe Biden would win Wisconsin (47%/45%), states where he won in 2020.
The poll was carried out by telephone between October 22nd and November 3rd with 3,662 registered voters in six states and the results must be considered with a margin of error between 4.4 and 4.8 points, depending on the state.
The trend of results does not favor the current North American President, with 67% of respondents considering that the country is going in the wrong direction, 59% disapproving of the way Biden plays his role (46% strongly disapprove) and 71% agree with the idea that, at 80, “he is too old to be an effective President”.
Joe Biden is losing ground, especially among young people, with only 41% of respondents aged 18 to 29 deciding, definitively or probably, to vote for the Democratic candidate, compared to 40% for Donald Trump.
“The demographic groups that supported Biden by overwhelming margins in 2020 are now much more contested”, namely the Hispanic and African-American communities, reports the New York Times.
“Forecasts a year in advance tend to be a little different a year later,” said one of the Biden-Harris 2024 campaign spokespersons, Kevin Munoz, citing a poll pointing to Barack Obama’s defeat a year before the election. his re-election in 2012 and another poll that anticipated catastrophic mid-term elections for Joe Biden in 2022.
“We will win in 2024 if we work forward, not worrying about a poll,” added the spokesperson.
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